Mariners at Blue Jays
Last play · Myles Straw pops out to first baseman Rowdy Tellez in foul territory.
Win probability
Blue Jays0%
SEA 100%TOR 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 6 – 3 TOR
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Cal Raleigh homers (9) on a fly ball to left field. Julio Rodríguez scores. (inning 1) — -16% Mariners
7Rowdy Tellez homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Mitch Garver scores.8–3
3Nathan Lukes out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. George Springer scores.6–3
2Bo Bichette singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Will Wagner scores. Nathan Lukes to 2nd.6–2
2Tyler Heineman singles on a ground ball to second baseman Leo Rivas, deflected by pitcher Luis Castillo. Addison Barger scores. Will Wagner to 2nd.6–1
2Mitch Garver singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder George Springer. Julio Rodríguez scores. Randy Arozarena to 3rd.6–0
2Randy Arozarena singles on a line drive to left fielder Nathan Lukes. Ben Williamson scores. Leo Rivas scores. Julio Rodríguez to 2nd.5–0
1Cal Raleigh homers (9) on a fly ball to left field. Julio Rodríguez scores.3–0
1Dylan Moore homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










