Padres at Astros

Scoreboard

SD3–HOU2

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Daikin Park · SD 16-6 · HOU 10-11

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
SD	1	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	10	0
HOU	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	2	7	1

Last play · Yainer Diaz strikes out on a foul tip.

Win probability

Astros0%

SD 100%HOU 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

SD 2 – 2 HOU

Tied through 5

The book's line

ESPN BET · prices only

Total runs

7.5

opened 8.5 ↓

fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-105 / -115

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Astros favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓

Biggest swing · Fernando Tatis Jr. homers (8) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 7) — -19% Padres

Scoring plays

SD–HOU · 5 total

7Fernando Tatis Jr. homers (8) on a fly ball to center field.3–2

5Yordan Alvarez out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Cam Smith scores.2–2

5Mauricio Dubón singles on a fly ball to center fielder Tyler Wade, deflected by second baseman Jose Iglesias. Jake Meyers scores. Cam Smith to 2nd.2–1

3Gavin Sheets singles on a ground ball to right fielder Cam Smith, deflected by first baseman Christian Walker. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores.2–0

1Xander Bogaerts grounds into a force out, fielded by second baseman Mauricio Dubón. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores. Manny Machado out at 2nd. Xander Bogaerts to 1st. Throwing error by second baseman Mauricio Dubón.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.