D-backs at Cubs
Last play · Kyle Tucker lines out sharply to center fielder Alek Thomas.
Win probability
Cubs0%
AZ 100%CHC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 1 – 1 CHC
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Cubs favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nico Hoerner singles on a ground ball to shortstop Geraldo Perdomo, deflected by second baseman Tim Tawa. Dansby Swanson scores. (inning 10) — +44% Cubs
11Josh Naylor singles on a ground ball to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Geraldo Perdomo scores.3–2
10Nico Hoerner singles on a ground ball to shortstop Geraldo Perdomo, deflected by second baseman Tim Tawa. Dansby Swanson scores.2–2
10Jose Herrera hits a sacrifice bunt. Missed catch error by second baseman Nico Hoerner, assist to pitcher Jordan Wicks. Tim Tawa scores. Jose Herrera to 2nd.2–1
4Josh Naylor singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Pavin Smith scores.1–1
1Michael Busch singles on a line drive to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Ian Happ scores. Kyle Tucker to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










