Cardinals at Braves
Last play · Nolan Arenado grounds out softly to catcher Sean Murphy.
Win probability
Braves100%
STL 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 2 – 2 ATL
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+180 / -215
Braves favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Matt Olson singles on a ground ball to right fielder Victor Scott II. Austin Riley scores. Eli White to 3rd. (inning 8) — +32% Braves
9Willson Contreras homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Victor Scott II scores.6–7
9Victor Scott II doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jarred Kelenic. Pedro Pagés scores.4–7
8Sean Murphy homers (5) on a fly ball to left field. Matt Olson scores. Ozzie Albies scores.3–7
8Michael Harris II out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Victor Scott II. Eli White scores.3–4
8Matt Olson singles on a ground ball to right fielder Victor Scott II. Austin Riley scores. Eli White to 3rd.3–3
6Nolan Gorman singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jarred Kelenic. Nolan Arenado scores. Jordan Walker to 3rd.3–2
3Austin Riley homers (6) on a fly ball to left field. Alex Verdugo scores.2–2
2Victor Scott II singles on a ground ball to shortstop Nick Allen. Pedro Pagés scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










