Blue Jays at Astros
Last play · Anthony Santander flies out to right fielder Cam Smith.
Win probability
Astros100%
TOR 0%HOU 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 0 – 4 HOU
Astros led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Astros favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jose Altuve doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Alan Roden. Brendan Rodgers scores. Zach Dezenzo scores. (inning 5) — +17% Astros
8Brendan Rodgers doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Alan Roden. Jeremy Peña scores. Yainer Diaz scores. Cam Smith to 3rd.0–7
7Yordan Alvarez singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder George Springer. Zach Dezenzo scores.0–5
5Isaac Paredes singles on a ground ball to right fielder George Springer. Jose Altuve scores. Yordan Alvarez to 2nd.0–4
5Jose Altuve doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Alan Roden. Brendan Rodgers scores. Zach Dezenzo scores.0–3
5Zach Dezenzo doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to right fielder George Springer. Cam Smith scores. Brendan Rodgers to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










