Reds at Marlins
Last play · Jose Trevino pops out to third baseman Connor Norby in foul territory.
Win probability
Marlins100%
CIN 0%MIA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 0 – 3 MIA
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Marlins favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jesús Sánchez singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder TJ Friedl. Otto Lopez scores. Agustín Ramírez to 2nd. (inning 2) — +10% Marlins
8Gavin Lux homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Austin Hays scores.3–6
8Austin Hays grounds into a force out, shortstop Xavier Edwards to second baseman Otto Lopez. Matt McLain scores. Elly De La Cruz out at 2nd. Austin Hays to 1st.1–6
7Kyle Stowers homers (2) on a line drive to left field. Connor Norby scores. Otto Lopez scores.0–6
5Eric Wagaman homers (3) on a fly ball to center field.0–3
2Ronny Simon singles on a ground ball to center fielder TJ Friedl. Agustín Ramírez scores. Jesús Sánchez to 3rd.0–2
2Jesús Sánchez singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder TJ Friedl. Otto Lopez scores. Agustín Ramírez to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










