Padres at Tigers
Last play · Fernando Tatis Jr. strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Tigers100%
SD 0%DET 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 4 – 6 DET
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Tigers favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Zach McKinstry triples (3) on a line drive to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Gleyber Torres scores. (inning 1) — +14% Tigers
5Oscar Gonzalez singles on a ground ball to right fielder Zach McKinstry. Manny Machado scores. Oscar Gonzalez out at 2nd, third baseman Jace Jung to shortstop Trey Sweeney. Connor Joe to 3rd.4–6
5Gavin Sheets homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field.3–6
3Gleyber Torres singles on a line drive to center fielder Tyler Wade. Jace Jung scores. Trey Sweeney scores. Tomás Nido to 2nd.2–6
2Riley Greene singles on a ground ball to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Tomás Nido scores. Zach McKinstry to 3rd.2–4
2Tomás Nido singles on a line drive to center fielder Tyler Wade. Javier Báez scores.2–3
2Fernando Tatis Jr. grounds out, third baseman Jace Jung to first baseman Spencer Torkelson. Jose Iglesias scores.2–2
1Colt Keith singles on a ground ball to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr., deflected by second baseman Jose Iglesias. Zach McKinstry scores.1–2
1Zach McKinstry triples (3) on a line drive to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Gleyber Torres scores.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










