Phillies at Mets
Last play · Bryce Harper strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mets100%
PHI 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 0 – 2 NYM
Mets led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 5.5 ↑
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Mets favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jesse Winker homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 2) — +15% Mets
9Bryson Stott homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. J.T. Realmuto scores. Alec Bohm scores.4–5
9J.T. Realmuto singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. Max Kepler scores.1–5
7Francisco Lindor homers (5) on a fly ball to center field. Luisangel Acuña scores. Tyrone Taylor scores.0–5
2Jesse Winker homers (1) on a fly ball to center field.0–2
1Francisco Lindor homers (4) on a fly ball to right field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










