Mariners at Red Sox
Last play · Cal Raleigh flies out to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
SEA 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 1 – 4 BOS
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Red Sox favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · J.P. Crawford singles on a line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran. Ben Williamson scores. Dylan Moore scores. (inning 6) — -22% Mariners
7Jarren Duran singles on a ground ball to second baseman Leo Rivas. Carlos Narváez scores. Jarren Duran to 2nd. Throwing error by second baseman Leo Rivas.3–8
7Triston Casas homers (2) on a fly ball to center field. Wilyer Abreu scores. Kristian Campbell scores.3–7
6J.P. Crawford singles on a line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran. Ben Williamson scores. Dylan Moore scores.3–4
5Alex Bregman doubles (9) on a line drive to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Ceddanne Rafaela scores. Rafael Devers scores. Alex Bregman to 3rd.1–4
3Alex Bregman doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Ceddanne Rafaela scores. Rafael Devers to 3rd.1–2
1Rafael Devers out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Luke Raley. Jarren Duran scores.1–1
1Jorge Polanco homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










