Phillies at Mets
Last play · Bryson Stott grounds out, shortstop Francisco Lindor to first baseman Pete Alonso.
Win probability
Mets100%
PHI 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 1 – 2 NYM
Mets led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 5.5 ↑
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +110
Mets favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Francisco Lindor singles on a ground ball to right fielder Nick Castellanos. José Azócar scores. (inning 2) — +10% Mets
7Luis Torrens singles on a line drive to left fielder Max Kepler. Pete Alonso scores. Mark Vientos scores. Jesse Winker to 2nd.1–5
7Pete Alonso doubles (10) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Max Kepler. Francisco Lindor scores.1–3
2Francisco Lindor singles on a ground ball to right fielder Nick Castellanos. José Azócar scores.1–2
2Johan Rojas singles on a ground ball to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. J.T. Realmuto scores. Alec Bohm to 2nd.1–1
1Mark Vientos doubles (5) on a ground ball to left fielder Max Kepler. Juan Soto scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










