Orioles at Nationals
Last play · Tyler O'Neill strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Nationals100%
BAL 0%WSH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 0 – 5 WSH
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +110
Nationals favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nathaniel Lowe homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field. James Wood scores. (inning 1) — +17% Nationals
7Keibert Ruiz doubles (4) on a line drive to right fielder Tyler O'Neill. Luis García Jr. scores.0–7
6Dylan Crews homers (3) on a fly ball to center field.0–6
5Keibert Ruiz singles on a ground ball to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Luis García Jr. scores.0–5
5Luis García Jr. singles on a line drive to center fielder Cedric Mullins. James Wood scores. Luis García Jr. to 2nd. Luis García Jr. advances to 2nd, on a throwing error by center fielder Cedric Mullins.0–4
2Nasim Nuñez strikes out swinging.0–3
1Nathaniel Lowe homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field. James Wood scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










