Reds at Marlins
Last play · TJ Friedl grounds out, shortstop Xavier Edwards to first baseman Matt Mervis.
Win probability
Marlins100%
CIN 0%MIA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 2 – 1 MIA
Reds led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Marlins favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Otto Lopez singles on a line drive to center fielder TJ Friedl. Connor Norby scores. Otto Lopez to 2nd. (inning 7) — +23% Marlins
7Xavier Edwards singles on a ground ball to pitcher Graham Ashcraft. Otto Lopez scores. Throwing error by pitcher Graham Ashcraft.3–4
7Otto Lopez singles on a line drive to center fielder TJ Friedl. Connor Norby scores. Otto Lopez to 2nd.3–3
6Agustín Ramírez doubles (2) on a line drive to left fielder Gavin Lux. Eric Wagaman scores.3–2
6Jeimer Candelario out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Kyle Stowers. Elly De La Cruz scores.3–1
5TJ Friedl doubles (4) on a fly ball to right fielder Jesús Sánchez. Jose Trevino scores.2–1
3Noelvi Marte homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.1–1
1Kyle Stowers singles on a line drive to right fielder Jake Fraley. Eric Wagaman scores. Agustín Ramírez to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










