Yankees at Guardians
Last play · Oswaldo Cabrera grounds out, second baseman Gabriel Arias to first baseman Carlos Santana.
Win probability
Guardians100%
NYY 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 1 – 0 CLE
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 5.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Guardians favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kyle Manzardo doubles (3) on a line drive to center fielder Cody Bellinger, deflected by right fielder Aaron Judge. Nolan Jones scores. (inning 6) — +31% Guardians
6Angel Martínez singles on a ground ball to shortstop Anthony Volpe. Kyle Manzardo scores. Bo Naylor to 2nd.2–3
6Kyle Manzardo doubles (3) on a line drive to center fielder Cody Bellinger, deflected by right fielder Aaron Judge. Nolan Jones scores.2–2
6Jazz Chisholm Jr. out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Angel Martínez. Aaron Judge scores.2–0
1Ben Rice homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










