Rockies at Royals
Last play · Freddy Fermin singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Mickey Moniak. Mark Canha scores. Bobby Witt Jr. to 3rd. Vinnie Pasquantino to 2nd.
Win probability
Royals100%
COL 0%KC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 0 – 0 KC
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+210 / -255
Royals favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jacob Stallings doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Tyler Tolbert. Ryan McMahon scores. Hunter Goodman scores. Michael Toglia scores. (inning 9) — -77% Rockies
11Freddy Fermin singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Mickey Moniak. Mark Canha scores. Bobby Witt Jr. to 3rd. Vinnie Pasquantino to 2nd.3–4
9Michael Massey out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Nick Martini. Freddy Fermin scores.3–3
9Jacob Stallings doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Tyler Tolbert. Ryan McMahon scores. Hunter Goodman scores. Michael Toglia scores.3–2
8Rockies challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Kyle Isbel singles on a bunt ground ball to first baseman Michael Toglia. Drew Waters scores.0–2
6Drew Waters homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










