Rays at D-backs
Last play · Kameron Misner strikes out swinging.
Win probability
D-backs100%
TB 0%AZ 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 1 – 3 AZ
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
D-backs favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Pavin Smith homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Corbin Carroll scores. (inning 3) — +25% D-backs
8Lourdes Gurriel Jr. out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Chandler Simpson. Pavin Smith scores.1–5
8Josh Naylor singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Kameron Misner. Corbin Carroll scores. Pavin Smith to 3rd.1–4
5Tim Tawa homers (3) on a fly ball to left field.1–3
3Pavin Smith homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Corbin Carroll scores.1–2
2Jake Mangum singles on a line drive to center fielder Alek Thomas. Kameron Misner scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










