Padres at Tigers
Last play · Connor Joe strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Tigers100%
SD 0%DET 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 0 – 2 DET
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
Tigers favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Justyn-Henry Malloy homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 5) — +10% Tigers
8Dillon Dingler homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field. Zach McKinstry scores.0–6
7Riley Greene singles on a line drive to left fielder Tirso Ornelas. Justyn-Henry Malloy scores.0–4
7Justyn-Henry Malloy doubles (3) on a line drive to right fielder Oscar Gonzalez. Trey Sweeney scores.0–3
5Justyn-Henry Malloy homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.0–2
1Gleyber Torres homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










