Reds at Marlins
Last play · Otto Lopez flies out to right fielder Blake Dunn.
Win probability
Marlins0%
CIN 100%MIA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 3 – 2 MIA
Reds led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Marlins favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Matt Mervis homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field. Eric Wagaman scores. (inning 1) — +22% Marlins
9Austin Wynns doubles (1) on a ground ball to left fielder Ronny Simon. Spencer Steer scores.5–2
8Marlins challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Jeimer Candelario reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by second baseman Otto Lopez. Elly De La Cruz scores. Noelvi Marte to 2nd.4–2
5Spencer Steer singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jesús Sánchez. Jake Fraley scores.3–2
3Austin Wynns homers (3) on a fly ball to left field.2–2
1Matt Mervis homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field. Eric Wagaman scores.1–2
1Gavin Lux singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Kyle Stowers. TJ Friedl scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










