Mariners at Red Sox
Last play · Jarren Duran lines out sharply to left fielder Randy Arozarena.
Win probability
Red Sox0%
SEA 100%BOS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 4 – 2 BOS
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Red Sox favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · J.P. Crawford homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Ben Williamson scores. Leo Rivas scores. (inning 4) — -29% Mariners
8Triston Casas homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Rafael Devers scores. Alex Bregman scores.8–5
7J.P. Crawford singles on a line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran. Rowdy Tellez scores. Ben Williamson to 3rd. Leo Rivas to 2nd.8–2
7Ben Williamson singles on a line drive to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Randy Arozarena scores. Mitch Garver to 3rd. Rowdy Tellez to 2nd.7–2
6Julio Rodríguez singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jarren Duran. Dylan Moore scores.6–2
6Dylan Moore reaches on a fielding error by pitcher Brennan Bernardino. Leo Rivas scores. Dylan Moore to 2nd. Throwing error by pitcher Brennan Bernardino.5–2
5Rafael Devers grounds out, second baseman Leo Rivas to first baseman Donovan Solano. Ceddanne Rafaela scores. Jarren Duran to 3rd.4–2
4Romy Gonzalez singles on a line drive to right fielder Dylan Moore. Trevor Story scores. Triston Casas to 2nd.4–1
4J.P. Crawford homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Ben Williamson scores. Leo Rivas scores.4–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










