Phillies at Mets
Last play · Starling Marte singles on a line drive to center fielder Cal Stevenson. Pete Alonso scores. Brandon Nimmo to 2nd.
Win probability
Mets100%
PHI 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 2 – 2 NYM
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Mets favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Pete Alonso doubles (11) on a fly ball to center fielder Cal Stevenson. Francisco Lindor scores. (inning 10) — +42% Mets
10Starling Marte singles on a line drive to center fielder Cal Stevenson. Pete Alonso scores. Brandon Nimmo to 2nd.3–4
10Pete Alonso doubles (11) on a fly ball to center fielder Cal Stevenson. Francisco Lindor scores.3–3
10Nick Castellanos singles on a ground ball to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Bryce Harper scores.3–2
4Trea Turner singles on a ground ball to right fielder Juan Soto. Weston Wilson scores. Johan Rojas to 2nd.2–2
4Johan Rojas singles on a ground ball to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. Edmundo Sosa scores. Weston Wilson to 3rd.1–2
2Brett Baty homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Mark Vientos scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










