Blue Jays at Astros
Last play · Myles Straw flies out to center fielder Jake Meyers.
Win probability
Astros100%
TOR 0%HOU 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 1 – 3 HOU
Astros led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Astros favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Christian Walker homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 2) — +15% Astros
4George Springer doubles (6) on a ground ball to left fielder Jose Altuve. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores.1–3
2Yordan Alvarez out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder George Springer. Zach Dezenzo scores. Mauricio Dubón to 3rd. Chas McCormick to 2nd.0–3
2Zach Dezenzo singles on a line drive to right fielder Addison Barger. Yainer Diaz scores.0–2
2Christian Walker homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










