Mariners at Red Sox
Last play · Kristian Campbell strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Red Sox0%
SEA 100%BOS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 4 – 2 BOS
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+150 / -180
Red Sox favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Mitch Garver doubles (1) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Kristian Campbell. Dylan Moore scores. Randy Arozarena scores. (inning 1) — -22% Mariners
8Carlos Narváez homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.4–3
3Alex Bregman singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Jarren Duran scores.4–2
2Julio Rodríguez grounds out, second baseman David Hamilton to first baseman Triston Casas. Leo Rivas scores. J.P. Crawford to 2nd.4–1
2Dylan Moore out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Kristian Campbell. Ben Williamson scores. Leo Rivas to 3rd.3–1
1Alex Bregman homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field.2–1
1Mitch Garver doubles (1) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Kristian Campbell. Dylan Moore scores. Randy Arozarena scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










