Orioles at Nationals
Last play · Amed Rosario grounds out, shortstop Gunnar Henderson to first baseman Ryan Mountcastle.
Win probability
Nationals0%
BAL 100%WSH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 2 – 1 WSH
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Nationals favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Cedric Mullins singles on a ground ball to center fielder Dylan Crews. Ryan O'Hearn scores. (inning 5) — -16% Orioles
5Cedric Mullins singles on a ground ball to center fielder Dylan Crews. Ryan O'Hearn scores.2–1
5Ryan O'Hearn singles on a line drive to left fielder James Wood. Ramón Laureano scores. Ryan O'Hearn to 2nd.1–1
2Josh Bell singles on a line drive to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Amed Rosario scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










