Brewers at Cardinals
Last play · Caleb Durbin lines out to center fielder Victor Scott II.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
MIL 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 0 – 3 STL
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -150
Cardinals favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jake Bauers grounds out, second baseman Brendan Donovan to first baseman Willson Contreras. Sal Frelick scores. Rhys Hoskins to 3rd. Isaac Collins to 2nd. (inning 7) — -14% Brewers
7Jake Bauers grounds out, second baseman Brendan Donovan to first baseman Willson Contreras. Sal Frelick scores. Rhys Hoskins to 3rd. Isaac Collins to 2nd.2–3
6Christian Yelich singles on a ground ball to center fielder Victor Scott II. Jackson Chourio scores.1–3
5Brendan Donovan singles on a line drive to left fielder Isaac Collins. Lars Nootbaar scores. Willson Contreras out at home on the throw, left fielder Isaac Collins to catcher William Contreras.0–3
5Lars Nootbaar singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jackson Chourio. Masyn Winn scores.0–2
4Nolan Gorman out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jackson Chourio. Brendan Donovan scores. Nolan Arenado to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










