Phillies at Cubs
Last play · Bryson Stott lines out to right fielder Kyle Tucker.
Win probability
Cubs100%
PHI 0%CHC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 0 – 3 CHC
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
Cubs favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nico Hoerner singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Max Kepler. Michael Busch scores. Dansby Swanson to 2nd. (inning 3) — +12% Cubs
7Pete Crow-Armstrong hits a sacrifice bunt. Fielding error by pitcher Carlos Hernández. Dansby Swanson scores. Pete Crow-Armstrong to 1st.0–4
4Ian Happ doubles (7) on a line drive to left fielder Max Kepler. Jon Berti scores.0–3
3Nico Hoerner singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Max Kepler. Michael Busch scores. Dansby Swanson to 2nd.0–2
2Jon Berti doubles (1) on a line drive to left fielder Max Kepler. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










