Red Sox at Guardians
Last play · Trevor Story strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Guardians100%
BOS 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 4 – 4 CLE
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 5.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Guardians favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Wilyer Abreu homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. Alex Bregman scores. Trevor Story scores. (inning 1) — -28% Red Sox
6Steven Kwan singles on a line drive to shortstop Trevor Story. Will Wilson scores.4–5
3Rafael Devers homers (3) on a fly ball to right field.4–4
1Daniel Schneemann singles on a ground ball to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Gabriel Arias scores.3–4
1Gabriel Arias singles on a line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran. José Ramírez scores. Gabriel Arias to 2nd.3–3
1Carlos Santana out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Nolan Jones scores.3–2
1José Ramírez singles on a line drive to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Steven Kwan scores. Nolan Jones to 3rd.3–1
1Wilyer Abreu homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. Alex Bregman scores. Trevor Story scores.3–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










