Phillies at Cubs
Last play · Dansby Swanson flies out to right fielder Nick Castellanos.
Win probability
Cubs0%
PHI 100%CHC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 6 – 2 CHC
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Cubs favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Max Kepler singles on a fly ball to left fielder Ian Happ. Kyle Schwarber scores. Nick Castellanos to 3rd. J.T. Realmuto to 2nd. (inning 4) — -14% Phillies
7Justin Turner out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Ian Happ scores. Seiya Suzuki to 3rd.10–4
7Seiya Suzuki singles on a ground ball to center fielder Johan Rojas. Miguel Amaya scores. Ian Happ to 2nd.10–3
7Max Kepler homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.10–2
6Kyle Schwarber doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Bryson Stott scores. Trea Turner scores.9–2
6Trea Turner singles on a line drive to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Johan Rojas scores. Bryson Stott to 2nd.7–2
5Seiya Suzuki singles on a line drive to left fielder Max Kepler. Miguel Amaya scores. Jon Berti scores. Ian Happ to 2nd.6–2
4Bryce Harper doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Alec Bohm scores. Bryson Stott scores.6–0
4Bryson Stott singles on a ground ball to left fielder Ian Happ. Max Kepler scores. Alec Bohm to 2nd.4–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










