Mets at Nationals
Last play · José Tena strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Nationals0%
NYM 100%WSH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 2 – 0 WSH
Mets led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-190 / +160
Nationals favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Francisco Alvarez homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Jesse Winker scores. (inning 2) — -24% Mets
2Francisco Alvarez homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Jesse Winker scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










