Rays at Padres
Last play · Padres challenged (catch or drop), call on the field was upheld: Padres challenged (force play), call on the field was upheld: Oscar Gonzalez flies into a double play, right fielder Kameron Misner to first baseman Jonathan Aranda. Mason McCoy out at 1st.
Win probability
Padres0%
TB 100%SD 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 1 – 0 SD
Rays led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 5.5 ↑
fair over 56.6% · hold 4.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Padres favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Yandy Díaz out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Tirso Ornelas. Taylor Walls scores. (inning 3) — -14% Rays
3Yandy Díaz out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Tirso Ornelas. Taylor Walls scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










