Red Sox at Guardians
Last play · Jhonkensy Noel strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Guardians0%
BOS 100%CLE 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 6 – 3 CLE
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Guardians favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Trevor Story singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Angel Martínez. Rafael Devers scores. Alex Bregman to 3rd. (inning 1) — -12% Red Sox
6Alex Bregman singles on a ground ball to second baseman Gabriel Arias. Jarren Duran scores. Rafael Devers to 2nd.7–3
4Jhonkensy Noel homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Angel Martínez scores.6–3
4Angel Martínez singles on a ground ball to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Gabriel Arias scores.6–1
3Rafael Devers flies out sharply to left fielder Daniel Schneemann.6–0
3Jarren Duran triples (3) on a line drive to right fielder Jhonkensy Noel. Carlos Narváez scores.5–0
2Rob Refsnyder walks. Rafael Devers scores. Alex Bregman to 3rd. Trevor Story to 2nd.4–0
2Rafael Devers doubles (8) on a fly ball to center fielder Angel Martínez. Jarren Duran scores.3–0
2Jarren Duran singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Angel Martínez. Kristian Campbell scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










