Phillies at Cubs
Last play · Nico Hoerner grounds out, pitcher Jordan Romano to first baseman Bryce Harper.
Win probability
Cubs0%
PHI 100%CHC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 1 – 1 CHC
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Cubs favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Alec Bohm out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Nick Castellanos scores. J.T. Realmuto to 3rd. (inning 10) — -26% Phillies
10Trea Turner singles on a ground ball to third baseman Vidal Bruján. Max Kepler scores. Johan Rojas to 3rd. Bryson Stott to 2nd.3–1
10Alec Bohm out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Nick Castellanos scores. J.T. Realmuto to 3rd.2–1
3Trea Turner singles on a ground ball to left fielder Ian Happ. Bryson Stott scores.1–1
2Pete Crow-Armstrong doubles (10) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Nico Hoerner scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










