Marlins at Mariners
Last play · Otto Lopez flies out to right fielder Luke Raley.
Win probability
Mariners100%
MIA 0%SEA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 0 – 10 SEA
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Mariners favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Miles Mastrobuoni doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jesús Sánchez. Rowdy Tellez scores. Ben Williamson scores. (inning 1) — +14% Mariners
8Miles Mastrobuoni singles on a line drive to center fielder Dane Myers. Luke Raley scores.0–14
7Mitch Garver homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. J.P. Crawford scores.0–13
6Ben Williamson singles on a ground ball to left fielder Ronny Simon. Luke Raley scores. Donovan Solano to 3rd. Ben Williamson to 2nd.0–11
4Ben Williamson grounds into a force out, third baseman Connor Norby to second baseman Otto Lopez. Randy Arozarena scores. Luke Raley to 3rd. Rowdy Tellez out at 2nd. Ben Williamson to 1st.0–10
4Rowdy Tellez hit by pitch. Cal Raleigh scores. Randy Arozarena to 3rd. Luke Raley to 2nd.0–9
4Jorge Polanco homers (7) on a fly ball to right field.0–8
2Luke Raley out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Kyle Stowers. Jorge Polanco scores. Cal Raleigh to 3rd.0–7
1Miles Mastrobuoni doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jesús Sánchez. Rowdy Tellez scores. Ben Williamson scores.0–6
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










