Mets at Nationals
Last play · Luis García Jr. reaches on a throwing error by first baseman Pete Alonso. CJ Abrams scores. James Wood to 2nd.
Win probability
Nationals100%
NYM 0%WSH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 7 – 1 WSH
Mets led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-155 / +130
Nationals favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · CJ Abrams singles on a ground ball to right fielder Juan Soto. Jacob Young scores. (inning 9) — +42% Nationals
9Luis García Jr. reaches on a throwing error by first baseman Pete Alonso. CJ Abrams scores. James Wood to 2nd.7–8
9CJ Abrams singles on a ground ball to right fielder Juan Soto. Jacob Young scores.7–7
7Riley Adams homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. José Tena scores. Alex Call scores.7–6
7Alex Call singles on a ground ball to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. Josh Bell scores. José Tena to 2nd.7–3
7Josh Bell singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. Luis García Jr. scores.7–2
5Luis Torrens doubles (7) on a line drive to right fielder Alex Call. Starling Marte scores. Luis Torrens to 3rd.7–1
2Dylan Crews homers (4) on a fly ball to left field.6–1
2Starling Marte grounds into a force out, shortstop CJ Abrams to second baseman Luis García Jr. Juan Soto scores. Pete Alonso out at 2nd. Starling Marte to 1st.6–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










