Astros at Royals
Last play · Jonathan India flies out to center fielder Jake Meyers.
Win probability
Royals0%
HOU 100%KC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 4 – 1 KC
Astros led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-155 / +130
Royals favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Yordan Alvarez homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. Chas McCormick scores. Isaac Paredes scores. (inning 3) — -35% Astros
9Drew Waters triples (2) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Cam Smith. Maikel Garcia scores.7–3
7Jonathan India out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Zach Dezenzo. Cavan Biggio scores.7–2
7Yainer Diaz homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.7–1
6Jeremy Peña doubles (4) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jonathan India. Zach Dezenzo scores. Chas McCormick scores.6–1
5Bobby Witt Jr. doubles (12) on a line drive to left fielder Zach Dezenzo. Jonathan India scores.4–1
5Jeremy Peña singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jonathan India. Chas McCormick scores. Jeremy Peña to 2nd. Jeremy Peña advances to 2nd, on a throwing error by left fielder Jonathan India.4–0
3Yordan Alvarez homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. Chas McCormick scores. Isaac Paredes scores.3–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










