Brewers at Cardinals
Last play · Brendan Donovan grounds out, third baseman Caleb Durbin to first baseman Rhys Hoskins.
Win probability
Cardinals0%
MIL 100%STL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 7 – 1 STL
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Cardinals favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · William Contreras singles on a line drive to left fielder Brendan Donovan. Brice Turang scores. Christian Yelich to 2nd. (inning 1) — -12% Brewers
5Brendan Donovan doubles (9) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Sal Frelick. Lars Nootbaar scores.7–1
4Christian Yelich singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jordan Walker. Caleb Durbin scores. Brice Turang scores.7–0
4Brice Turang singles on a ground ball to second baseman Thomas Saggese. Joey Ortiz scores. Caleb Durbin to 2nd.5–0
4Caleb Durbin singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jordan Walker. Isaac Collins scores. Joey Ortiz to 3rd.4–0
1Rhys Hoskins singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jordan Walker, deflected by second baseman Thomas Saggese. William Contreras scores. Sal Frelick to 2nd.3–0
1Sal Frelick singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Lars Nootbaar. Christian Yelich scores. William Contreras to 2nd.2–0
1William Contreras singles on a line drive to left fielder Brendan Donovan. Brice Turang scores. Christian Yelich to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










