Braves at D-backs
ATL4–
AZ6Last play · Ozzie Albies lines out to center fielder Alek Thomas.
Win probability
D-backs100%
ATL 0%AZ 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 1 – 4 AZ
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
D-backs favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Josh Naylor doubles (8) on a line drive to center fielder Michael Harris II. Geraldo Perdomo scores. Pavin Smith scores. (inning 7) — +14% D-backs
9Marcell Ozuna doubles (3) on a line drive to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Nick Allen scores.4–6
7Josh Naylor doubles (8) on a line drive to center fielder Michael Harris II. Geraldo Perdomo scores. Pavin Smith scores.3–6
7Alex Verdugo singles on a line drive to center fielder Alek Thomas. Drake Baldwin scores. Nick Allen to 3rd.3–4
7Nick Allen singles on a ground ball to center fielder Alek Thomas. Eli White scores. Drake Baldwin to 2nd.2–4
5Geraldo Perdomo homers (4) on a fly ball to right field.1–4
5Alex Verdugo doubles (5) on a line drive to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Eli White scores.1–3
4Alek Thomas doubles (5) on a line drive to left fielder Alex Verdugo. Josh Naylor scores. Eugenio Suárez out at home on the throw, left fielder Alex Verdugo to shortstop Nick Allen to catcher Drake Baldwin. Alek Thomas to 3rd.0–3
2Lourdes Gurriel Jr. out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Michael Harris II. Eugenio Suárez scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.