Tigers at Astros
Last play · Javier Báez strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Astros100%
DET 0%HOU 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 3 – 2 HOU
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Astros favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jose Altuve homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field. Jeremy Peña scores. (inning 6) — +34% Astros
8Riley Greene homers (6) on a fly ball to left field. Gleyber Torres scores.5–8
7Yordan Alvarez singles on a line drive to right fielder Riley Greene. Jeremy Peña scores.3–8
7Jose Altuve grounds out, second baseman Gleyber Torres to first baseman Spencer Torkelson. Mauricio Dubón scores. Jeremy Peña to 3rd.3–7
7Mauricio Dubón singles on a fly ball to center fielder Javier Báez. Yainer Diaz scores. Cam Smith scores.3–6
6Jose Altuve homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field. Jeremy Peña scores.3–4
4Christian Walker homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field. Isaac Paredes scores.3–2
4Riley Greene homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field.3–0
3Kerry Carpenter homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field. Trey Sweeney scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










