Yankees at Orioles
Last play · Cody Bellinger strikes out on a foul tip.
Win probability
Orioles100%
NYY 0%BAL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 0 – 4 BAL
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +110
Orioles favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ryan O'Hearn homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. Gunnar Henderson scores. Adley Rutschman scores. (inning 3) — +22% Orioles
8Austin Wells doubles (6) on a fly ball to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Anthony Volpe scores.3–4
8Anthony Volpe doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Heston Kjerstad. Paul Goldschmidt scores.2–4
7Aaron Judge grounds into a force out, third baseman Ramón Urías to second baseman Jackson Holliday. Oswaldo Cabrera scores. Trent Grisham out at 2nd. Aaron Judge to 1st.1–4
3Ryan O'Hearn homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. Gunnar Henderson scores. Adley Rutschman scores.0–4
2Ramón Laureano doubles (2) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Trent Grisham. Jackson Holliday scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










