Twins at Guardians
Last play · Brayan Rocchio grounds out to first baseman Kody Clemens.
Win probability
Guardians0%
MIN 100%CLE 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 6 – 1 CLE
Twins led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Guardians favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Byron Buxton singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jhonkensy Noel. Jonah Bride scores. Harrison Bader scores. Edouard Julien to 2nd. (inning 2) — -15% Twins
8Ryan Jeffers homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Kody Clemens scores.11–1
6Mickey Gasper singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jhonkensy Noel. Ty France scores.9–1
6Ty France doubles (6) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Nolan Jones. Byron Buxton scores. Trevor Larnach scores.8–1
5Jhonkensy Noel singles on a ground ball to left fielder Harrison Bader. Gabriel Arias scores.6–1
5Harrison Bader singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jhonkensy Noel. Mickey Gasper scores. Jonah Bride to 3rd.6–0
5Jonah Bride singles on a ground ball to left fielder Steven Kwan. Ryan Jeffers scores. Mickey Gasper to 2nd.5–0
2Byron Buxton singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jhonkensy Noel. Jonah Bride scores. Harrison Bader scores. Edouard Julien to 2nd.4–0
1Ryan Jeffers doubles (7) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Nolan Jones. Carlos Correa scores. Ty France out at home on the throw, center fielder Nolan Jones to second baseman Gabriel Arias to catcher Bo Naylor.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










