Marlins at Mariners
Last play · Agustín Ramírez grounds out, second baseman Leo Rivas to first baseman Donovan Solano.
Win probability
Mariners100%
MIA 0%SEA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 2 – 7 SEA
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Mariners favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Julio Rodríguez singles on a ground ball to right fielder Kyle Stowers. J.P. Crawford scores. Miles Mastrobuoni scores. Leo Rivas to 2nd. (inning 2) — +20% Mariners
8Connor Norby homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Eric Wagaman scores. Kyle Stowers scores.6–7
6Agustín Ramírez homers (3) on a fly ball to left field.3–7
5J.P. Crawford homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Randy Arozarena scores.2–7
5Otto Lopez grounds out, third baseman Miles Mastrobuoni to first baseman Donovan Solano. Connor Norby scores.2–5
4Jorge Polanco singles on a line drive to center fielder Jesús Sánchez. Leo Rivas scores. Julio Rodríguez to 2nd.1–5
2Jorge Polanco doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jesús Sánchez. Leo Rivas scores. Julio Rodríguez to 3rd.1–4
2Julio Rodríguez singles on a ground ball to right fielder Kyle Stowers. J.P. Crawford scores. Miles Mastrobuoni scores. Leo Rivas to 2nd.1–3
1Cal Raleigh homers (10) on a fly ball to right field.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










