Royals at Rays
Last play · Chandler Simpson grounds out, second baseman Michael Massey to first baseman Salvador Perez.
Win probability
Rays0%
KC 100%TB 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 2 – 1 TB
Royals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
Rays favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Junior Caminero homers (6) on a line drive to center field. (inning 4) — +15% Rays
9Freddy Fermin singles on a ground ball to right fielder Travis Jankowski. Maikel Garcia scores.3–1
4Junior Caminero homers (6) on a line drive to center field.2–1
2Kyle Isbel out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Christopher Morel. Drew Waters scores.2–0
1Salvador Perez doubles (10) on a fly ball to center fielder Chandler Simpson. Jonathan India scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










