Red Sox at Blue Jays
Last play · Daulton Varsho strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Blue Jays0%
BOS 100%TOR 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 7 – 2 TOR
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-135 / +115
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kristian Campbell homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 2) — -14% Red Sox
9Triston Casas grounds out softly, third baseman Ernie Clement to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Wilyer Abreu scores. Kristian Campbell to 3rd.10–2
9Kristian Campbell doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Myles Straw. Alex Bregman scores. Wilyer Abreu to 3rd.9–2
8Jarren Duran grounds out, second baseman Andrés Giménez to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Ceddanne Rafaela scores. Carlos Narváez to 2nd.8–2
3Vladimir Guerrero Jr. homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. Bo Bichette scores.7–2
3Wilyer Abreu homers (6) on a fly ball to center field. Alex Bregman scores. Trevor Story scores.7–0
3Rafael Devers homers (5) on a fly ball to right field.4–0
2Kristian Campbell homers (4) on a fly ball to right field.3–0
1Alex Bregman homers (6) on a fly ball to left field.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










