Giants at Padres
Last play · Patrick Bailey grounds out, second baseman Jose Iglesias to first baseman Luis Arraez.
Win probability
Padres100%
SF 0%SD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 1 – 5 SD
Padres led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 56.6% · hold 4.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Padres favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · LaMonte Wade Jr. doubles (4) on a line drive to left fielder Jason Heyward. Jung Hoo Lee scores. Heliot Ramos scores. LaMonte Wade Jr. to 3rd. LaMonte Wade Jr. advances to 3rd, on a throwing error by third baseman Manny Machado. (inning 6) — -22% Giants
7Xander Bogaerts homers (1) on a line drive to left field. Gavin Sheets scores.4–7
6LaMonte Wade Jr. doubles (4) on a line drive to left fielder Jason Heyward. Jung Hoo Lee scores. Heliot Ramos scores. LaMonte Wade Jr. to 3rd. LaMonte Wade Jr. advances to 3rd, on a throwing error by third baseman Manny Machado.4–5
6Jung Hoo Lee singles on a line drive to center fielder Tyler Wade. Willy Adames scores.2–5
4Manny Machado singles on a line drive to center fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Elias Díaz scores.1–5
4Luis Arraez out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Heliot Ramos. Jason Heyward scores.1–4
4Willy Adames homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field.1–3
1Jose Iglesias singles on a line drive to right fielder Mike Yastrzemski. Gavin Sheets scores. Xander Bogaerts scores.0–3
1Xander Bogaerts singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Manny Machado scores. Gavin Sheets to 3rd. Xander Bogaerts to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










