Tigers at Astros
Last play · Zach McKinstry strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Astros100%
DET 0%HOU 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 2 – 0 HOU
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Astros favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Yainer Diaz singles on a line drive to center fielder Riley Greene. Isaac Paredes scores. Christian Walker scores. (inning 6) — +34% Astros
9Gleyber Torres homers (3) on a fly ball to left field. Kerry Carpenter scores.4–6
7Yainer Diaz singles on a ground ball to left fielder Kerry Carpenter. Isaac Paredes scores. Christian Walker to 2nd.2–6
7Isaac Paredes triples (1) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Riley Greene. Yordan Alvarez scores.2–5
7Yordan Alvarez singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Zach McKinstry. Mauricio Dubón scores.2–4
6Yainer Diaz singles on a line drive to center fielder Riley Greene. Isaac Paredes scores. Christian Walker scores.2–3
6Christian Walker doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Riley Greene. Jose Altuve scores. Isaac Paredes to 3rd.2–1
5Gleyber Torres singles on a line drive to right fielder Zach Dezenzo. Jace Jung scores.2–0
1Kerry Carpenter homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










