Cardinals at Reds
Last play · Gavin Lux flies out to center fielder Victor Scott II.
Win probability
Reds0%
STL 100%CIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 9 – 0 CIN
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Reds favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Willson Contreras homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. Lars Nootbaar scores. Masyn Winn scores. (inning 1) — -28% Cardinals
6Santiago Espinal singles on a line drive to center fielder Victor Scott II. Elly De La Cruz scores.9–1
3Victor Scott II singles on a fly ball to left fielder Gavin Lux. Jordan Walker scores. Pedro Pagés to 2nd.9–0
3Pedro Pagés reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by second baseman Santiago Espinal. Nolan Gorman scores. Jordan Walker to 3rd.8–0
3Jordan Walker doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Gavin Lux. Brendan Donovan scores. Willson Contreras scores. Nolan Gorman to 3rd.7–0
3Brendan Donovan singles on a line drive to center fielder TJ Friedl. Masyn Winn scores.5–0
2Pedro Pagés homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.4–0
1Willson Contreras homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. Lars Nootbaar scores. Masyn Winn scores.3–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










