Nationals at Phillies
Last play · José Tena grounds out, shortstop Trea Turner to first baseman Bryce Harper.
Win probability
Phillies100%
WSH 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 2 – 5 PHI
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+205 / -250
Phillies favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kyle Schwarber homers (9) on a fly ball to right field. Bryson Stott scores. Trea Turner scores. (inning 1) — +24% Phillies
8J.T. Realmuto homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.2–7
6Max Kepler homers (3) on a fly ball to right field.2–6
5Nick Castellanos singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jacob Young. Bryce Harper scores.2–5
5Amed Rosario grounds into a force out, second baseman Bryson Stott to shortstop Trea Turner. Jacob Young scores. CJ Abrams out at 2nd. Amed Rosario to 1st.2–4
4Bryson Stott singles on a line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. J.T. Realmuto scores. Johan Rojas to 3rd.1–4
3Nathaniel Lowe doubles (6) on a ground ball to left fielder Max Kepler. Jacob Young scores. James Wood to 3rd.1–3
1Kyle Schwarber homers (9) on a fly ball to right field. Bryson Stott scores. Trea Turner scores.0–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










