D-backs at Mets
Last play · Francisco Alvarez grounds out, third baseman Eugenio Suárez to first baseman Josh Naylor.
Win probability
Mets0%
AZ 100%NYM 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 0 – 1 NYM
Mets led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Mets favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Geraldo Perdomo singles on a line drive to left fielder Jeff McNeil. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. scores. Jorge Barrosa scores. (inning 7) — -41% D-backs
9Jesse Winker grounds out to first baseman Josh Naylor. Francisco Lindor scores. Juan Soto to 3rd. Pete Alonso to 2nd.4–3
9Tyrone Taylor homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.4–2
9Geraldo Perdomo out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. Alek Thomas scores.4–1
9Jorge Barrosa out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. Gabriel Moreno scores. Alek Thomas to 3rd.3–1
7Geraldo Perdomo singles on a line drive to left fielder Jeff McNeil. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. scores. Jorge Barrosa scores.2–1
3Mark Vientos homers (4) on a fly ball to left field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










