Yankees at Orioles
Last play · Trent Grisham strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Orioles100%
NYY 0%BAL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 3 – 5 BAL
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Orioles favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ryan Mountcastle homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. Jackson Holliday scores. (inning 2) — +26% Orioles
7Aaron Judge singles on a ground ball to left fielder Ramón Laureano. Oswald Peraza scores.4–5
5Jackson Holliday grounds into a force out, fielded by second baseman Pablo Reyes. Adley Rutschman scores. Ryan O'Hearn to 3rd. Ramón Laureano out at 2nd. Jackson Holliday to 1st.3–5
5Paul Goldschmidt homers (2) on a fly ball to center field.3–4
2Adley Rutschman singles on a ground ball to right fielder Aaron Judge. Gunnar Henderson scores.2–4
2Ramón Urías homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.2–3
2Ryan Mountcastle homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. Jackson Holliday scores.2–2
1Aaron Judge homers (10) on a fly ball to center field. Trent Grisham scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










