Red Sox at Blue Jays
Last play · Alejandro Kirk singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. George Springer to 3rd. Daulton Varsho to 2nd.
Win probability
Blue Jays100%
BOS 0%TOR 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 4 – 0 TOR
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Anthony Santander homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Ernie Clement scores. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. (inning 7) — +48% Blue Jays
10Alejandro Kirk singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. George Springer to 3rd. Daulton Varsho to 2nd.6–7
7Anthony Santander homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Ernie Clement scores. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores.6–6
6Alejandro Kirk homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.6–3
6Daulton Varsho homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. George Springer scores.6–2
6Carlos Narváez homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field. Ceddanne Rafaela scores.6–0
2Rafael Devers doubles (10) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Jarren Duran scores.4–0
2Jarren Duran singles on a line drive to left fielder George Springer. Ceddanne Rafaela scores.3–0
1Alex Bregman homers (7) on a fly ball to left field.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










