Royals at Rays
Last play · Chandler Simpson flies out to left fielder Drew Waters.
Win probability
Rays0%
KC 100%TB 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 3 – 0 TB
Royals led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -150
Rays favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Vinnie Pasquantino homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field. Bobby Witt Jr. scores. (inning 1) — -22% Royals
5Bobby Witt Jr. singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder José Caballero. Cavan Biggio scores. Jonathan India to 3rd.3–0
1Vinnie Pasquantino homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










