Tigers at Astros
Last play · Brendan Rodgers grounds out, shortstop Trey Sweeney to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
Win probability
Astros0%
DET 100%HOU 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 7 – 3 HOU
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Astros favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Colt Keith homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Riley Greene scores. (inning 2) — -25% Tigers
7Victor Caratini homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.7–4
5Jose Altuve doubles (3) on a line drive to left fielder Riley Greene. Jake Meyers scores. Jeremy Peña scores.7–3
3Javier Báez hits a grand slam (1) to left field. Kerry Carpenter scores. Riley Greene scores. Colt Keith scores.7–1
3Zach McKinstry out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jake Meyers. Tomás Nido scores.3–1
2Colt Keith homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Riley Greene scores.2–1
1Jeremy Peña homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










